CFRW Capitol Update March 13, 2024

California Republicans Change Delegate Rules Ahead of the 2024 Primary

In a presidential year, California’s 2024 primary is in March instead of June, and the state is the biggest prize for the Republican nomination.

Under the old rules, Republican presidential candidates could win three delegates in each congressional district in California, which allowed them to target specific areas without running an expensive statewide campaign. In previous primaries, multiple candidates could walk away with at least some delegates under their belts.

Under the new rules, if any candidate can secure more than 50% of the votes statewide, they will get all 169 delegates. If no one wins a majority, the delegates will be awarded proportionately based on each candidate’s share of the statewide vote.

TRUMP SWEEPS THE DELEGATES

As of March 8, 2024, former President Donald Trump had 78.5% in the Republican presidential primary, compared to 18% for former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.  That’s far higher than the 50% plus one he needed to win all 169 delegates.

Nikki Haley suspended her campaign following her losses on Super Tuesday.

STEVE GARVEY MAKES IT TO THE TOP TWO

Schiff and Garvey are the Forerunners for the General Election 
Adam B. Schiff
(Party Preference: DEM)
1,445,18533.2%
Steve Garvey
(Party Preference: REP)
1,398,92432.2%
Katie Porter
(Party Preference: DEM)
618,62214.2%
Barbara Lee
(Party Preference: DEM)
334,6377.7%
Eric Early
(Party Preference: REP)
150,9253.5%

Ten Republicans, eleven democrats and six other parties split the vote in the primary campaign for this highly desired Senate seat. There is a big opportunity for us to make a strong showing in the General election.

 

 

RACES TO WATCH

District 3:
Kevin Kiley
(Party Preference: REP)
69,59655.0%
   
Jessica Morse
(Party Preference: DEM)
54,41643.0%

District 9
Only two other Republicans were on the ballot winning 20.1% of the vote. This is a seat we could flip. Keep a watchful eye as votes continue to be counted.

Josh Harder
(Party Preference: DEM)
31,29351.2%
Kevin Lincoln
(Party Preference: REP)
17,70929.0%

District 13:

John Duarte
(Party Preference: REP)
25,97654.4%
Adam Gray
(Party Preference: DEM)
21,74645.6%



District 20:  
Who will replace Kevin McCarthy?

Vince Fong
(Party Preference: REP)
31,97637.5%
Mike Boudreaux
(Party Preference: REP)
22,01725.8%
Marisa Wood
(Party Preference: DEM)
18,81822.0%
   
District 21:
Jim Costa
(Party Preference: DEM)
27,94553.5%
Michael Maher
(Party Preference: REP)
24,31446.5%
 

District 22:

David G. Valadao
(Party Preference: REP)
10,40534.0%
Rudy Salas
(Party Preference: DEM)
8,66628.3%

District 33:

Pete Aguilar
(Party Preference: DEM)
26,24756.7%
Tom Herman
(Party Preference: REP)
20,06943.3%

District 35:

Norma J. Torres
(Party Preference: DEM)
21,38047.8%
Mike Cargile
(Party Preference: REP)
18,00240.2%
 

District 38
While this looks like a big margin, two other Republicans split the vote, taking 20.9% of total votes. There was no other democrat, NPP or other candidates on the ballot.

Linda T. Sánchez
(Party Preference: DEM)
40,41853.8%
Eric J. Ching
(Party Preference: REP)
18,95825.3%

District 39:

Mark Takano
(Party Preference: DEM)
29,69956.2%
David Serpa
(Party Preference: REP)
23,15143.8%

District 40
The only other candidate was a democrat who picked up 16.9% of the votes.

Young Kim
(Party Preference: REP)
77,44157.2%
Joe Kerr
(Party Preference: DEM)
35,00325.9%

District 41:   
The only other candidate was a democrat picking up 8.6% of the votes. This seat is at risk!

Ken Calvert
(Party Preference: REP)
50,88950.4%
Will Rollins
(Party Preference: DEM)
41,49741.1%

District 43
Laugh of the day – Is she still upright?

Maxine Waters
(Party Preference: DEM)
37,58768.4%

District 45
Four democrat opponents picked up 43.6% of the vote.

Michelle Steel
(Party Preference: REP)
53,49856.3%

District 47:
Other Democrats picked up 21%, Republicans picked up 17.5% of the vote. We have a good chance of picking up Katie Porter’s seat.

Scott Baugh
(Party Preference: REP)
41,98032.8%
Dave Min
(Party Preference: DEM)
33,06825.8%

District 49:
All other candidates were Republicans and received 23.4% of the vote. This is a district we could flip.

Mike Levin
(Party Preference: DEM)
68,32451.0%
Matt Gunderson
(Party Preference: REP)
34,32025.6%